Nick Minchin (SA, Liberal Party, Minister for Finance and Administration) Share this | Hansard source

The opposition do seem to want to revisit the 2004 election repeatedly, which surprises me given the trouncing they properly got at that election. That was an election at which the Australian people quite properly accepted the proposition that we put: that interest rates were always likely to be lower under a coalition government than under a Labor government. Of course, that continues to be the case.

It continues to be evident on the basis of the facts. The fact is that, under the former Labor government, home mortgage interest rates averaged 12.75 per cent for the 13 years of their government. Under us, they average 7.18 per cent. The fact is that, based on the 25 basis point increase in the cash rate today to a 6.25 per cent cash rate, we would anticipate mortgage interest rates rising to 8.05 per cent. It is a fact that home mortgage interest rates never got as low as 8.05 per cent in the whole 13 years of the Labor government.

Most interestingly, when interest rates went to 9.5 per cent in September 1994, Kim Beazley, now Leader of the Opposition, was finance minister. This is what Mr Beazley had to say then about a 9.5 per cent interest rate:

... I point out that this is still a very low interest rate regime in Australian historical standards. It is a regime that is capable of being held at that level ... because the fundamentals of the economy ... are very good indeed.

Apparently in 1994, under then finance minister Mr Beazley, a home mortgage interest rate level of 9.5 per cent—about 1½ per cent more than is currently the case—was a very low level and a very low interest rate regime. They never got interest rates as low as 8.05 per cent. Now they have the temerity to criticise this government for a level of home mortgage interest rate that they were never able to achieve.

We do not retract one bit the assertion we properly made at the last election that interest rates will always tend to be lower under our government than under the federal Labor government, for the reasons cited by the Prime Minister this morning and, most particularly, because of the fact that, on current Labor Party policy, which is to recentralise and reregulate industrial relations in this country, it is certain that under a federal Labor government we would have a flow-through of wages right through the economy which would produce the wage inflation that we saw under previous Labor governments. That would put pressure on interest rates.

We know that, under a federal Labor government, there would be a looseness in fiscal policy. They are already proposing to loosen fiscal policy by spending the earnings of the Future Fund. All of the policy prescriptions of the Labor Party will put pressure on interest rates. Their track record on interest rates is appalling. As the Prime Minister said today, no-one likes home mortgage interest rates to rise, but no-one likes inflation to rise, and we never want to see inflation go back to the levels that pertained under the previous Labor government.