Malcolm Roberts (Queensland, Pauline Hanson's One Nation Party) Share this | Hansard source

by leave—I move:

That the Senate take note of the document.

As a servant to the people of Queensland and Australia, I always treat the people with respect and care, and that compels me to base statements on facts and solid empirical evidence. In cross-examination in 2017, the CSIRO admitted that today's temperatures are not unprecedented. Yet Senator Cormann relies broadly and without specifics on the UN's discredited Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. He cites two page numbers on which the UN IPCC makes claims without providing empirical, scientific data within a scientific framework that proves causation—useless! Senator Cormann gives us no proof of human carbon dioxide causing climate variability—none, nil, zip. He and his Liberal and Nats colleagues hide behind the UN smokescreen.

Fortunately I have the antidote: cold hard facts and data. Let me share just some. Each of the UN IPCC's five reports to media and governments is based on a lie. They're a litany of lies. The 1990 report was based on a false claim that reversed the scientist's conclusion that there was no evidence of global warming, and none due to human carbon dioxide. The 1995 report was more brazen. It was based on one scientist, Ben Santer, reversing the scientist's own report. The original 1995 report on the science said:

While some of the pattern-based studies discussed here have claimed detection of a significant climate change, no study to date has positively attributed all or part of that change to anthropogenic causes.

None! Yet, without consulting the other authors, one of the chapter's lead authors, Ben Santer, reportedly falsified comments in chapter 8 by submitting this comment:

The body of statistical evidence in chapter 8, when examined in the context of our physical understanding of the climate system, now points to a discernible human influence on the global climate.

A lie!

In 2001 the next report from the UN was based on the infamous 'hockey stick' temperature graph, whose authors refused to release their data to public scrutiny. That should have meant that we discard it. Instead it was lionised by the UN and by Al Gore and entrenched in people's minds in headlines. In 2007 the UN based its report on unvalidated and erroneous computer models proven hopelessly wrong. The 2014 report, which Senator Cormann has referenced, was also based on unvalidated and erroneous computer models proven hopelessly wrong. The 2014 report's sole chapter claiming warming—that's chapter 10—in its opening sentence misrepresents reality by implying warming from 1951 to 2010, and similarly on page 878. Both are false. From 1958 to 1975 global atmospheric temperatures cooled; 1976 saw a sudden small rise due to the entirely natural Great Pacific Climate Shift over one year, followed, from 1995 through to 1998, by a very modest warming trend. From 1995 to 1998 temperature had been flat, and every year since 1998 was cooler than 1998. In 57 years of atmospheric temperature measurements, temperatures have shown no warming or have been cooling for 34 years. That's 60 per cent of the time with no warming. At the time of the report, in 2013-14, the trend was 16 years of ongoing lack of warming, despite ever-rising human carbon dioxide output due largely to China and India. Yet there is no warming trend, and that continues.

The report identifies no plausible, logical, scientific reasoning for attributing modest cyclical warming to carbon dioxide from human activity. That contradicts empirical scientific evidence and factors needed to claim causal relationships. The report contains no empirical scientific evidence and no logical scientific reasoning for claiming that human carbon dioxide causes warming. It fails to identify any difference between current temperature variability and past temperature variability. Comparisons revealed both previous cycles are similar in modest extent and rate of warming and cyclical stasis after each warming—just a natural cooling and warming.

In its latest report in 2014, confidence in UN IPCC projections was raised arbitrarily to 95 per cent. That implied statistical validity. If the 95 per cent is not statistically derived, it's politically fabricated—just pulled out of the air. To paraphrase and build on the words of Canadian statistician Ross McKitrick, in previous years the UN IPCC was wrong about the Arctic, wrong about the Antarctic, wrong about the tropical troposphere, wrong about atmospheric temperatures, wrong about the ground based surface temperature, wrong about ocean temperatures, wrong about hurricanes, wrong about sea levels, wrong about the Himalayas, wrong about sensitivity, clueless on clouds and useless on regional trends. And, on that basis, it raised its confidence to 95 per cent. Canadian statistician Steve McIntyre's early investigation of the UN's 2014 report reveals that the UN has cooked the figures to falsely show that, although there had been a lack of warming for 16 or 17 years at the time, the temperatures at the time fall within the range of its early predictions. They did not. Steve McIntyre said that earlier UN temperature projections:

… have been shifted downwards relative to observations, so that the observations are now within the earlier projection …

The UN report tried to misleadingly hide the fact that, contrary to UN projections, ground based temperatures had not risen since its second report in 1995. If the UN IPCC that Senator Cormann relies upon were a corporation, an accountant or financial prospectus, it would be jailed.

A critique of the report by the internationally acclaimed independent climate scientist, the Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change, found that the UN has retreated on at least 11 alarmist claims in prior reports. The new summary for policymakers in 2014 had at least 13 misleading or false statements, and another 11 statements are phrased to mislead the readers or misrepresent important aspects of the science. American climatologist Dr Judith Curry is a professor and chair of the Georgia Institute of Technology's School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences. Reportedly, she's a scientist who initially believed that humans caused global warming. She now publicly questions that. Here are her views on the report that Senator Cormann and the wet Libs rely on:

Diagnosis:—

of the UN—

… paradigm paralysis, caused by motivated reasoning, oversimplification, and consensus seeking; worsened and made permanent by a vicious positive feedback effect at the climate science-policy interface.

Her comments continue:

that's the UN—

steeped in moral panic and hyperbole …

She further states:

The UN IPCC contradicts empirical scientific evidence because it relies on projections from computerised numerical models whose core assumptions contradict Nature—

and reality. 'The discrepancy,' as Judith Curry says, 'between observational and climate model based estimates of climate sensitivity is substantial and of significant importance to policymakers.' But that's what the Liberal's policy is based on.

And here's the trick: instead of science, they use language. Word counts done on their chapter show that in 85 pages, the word 'model' appears 677 times. The word 'simul'—as part of 'simulations' and 'simulated'—appears 370 times. The word 'certain' appears 232 times, even though there's nothing certain. The word 'likely' appears 172 times. The word 'confidence' appears 127 times. The word 'may' appears 79 times. The word 'expect' appears 63 times. It's just a litany of propaganda. The repetition of key words is propaganda to conjure unfounded feelings of confidence and likelihood, and it fooled Senator Cormann. Yet there is a complete lack of empirical scientific evidence that human carbon dioxide causes climate change and needs to be cut. In the real world of science—proper science—propaganda is not science. In the politicised and ideological world of the UN and the Liberal Party though, it is a replacement for science. In the Liberal Party, it is a substitute for science and replaces integrity, and the Nats meekly tag along.

Senator Cormann has revealed the government's lack of understanding of climate and lack of scientific evidence for its ruinous climate policies and imposts on the people. Senator Cormann validates our conclusions and reinforces our determination to expose the gutless wet Liberals, afraid of confronting the facts and afraid of confronting the Greens, with the coward Nationals meekly tagging along. Senator Cormann and the government have failed to provide any scientific basis for their climate position.

I will return in coming months to discuss the State of the Climate report by the BOM and the CSIRO in 2018. I'm going to have a lot of fun in the next four months. We will free this country and every Australian from the clutches of ignorance and dishonesty. We will restore people's rights and save families and employers cash. Families know how to use this cash better. This issue goes to the heart of the Australian governments. This parliament should be ashamed. Senator Hanson and I will delight in restoring scientific integrity and restoring freedom. I seek leave to continue my remarks later.